Analysts are doing a lot of worrying lately about all the bad things that could happen in the global economy, despite positive economic data and occasional market rallies.
Looking ahead to 2012, Deutsche Bank analysts Tom Joyce and Ram Nayak lay out 10 of the biggest worries. They tell you how to hedge for the worst case scenario.
So, TOP 10 risks:
A Greek exit rom the euro
Funding crises in Italy and Spain
The U.S. gets hit with a downgrade or double-dip recession
A hard landing in China
France loses its AAA rating
Aggressive and sustained deleveraging of European banks
Commodity trade finance faces a liquidity crunch
Safe haven assets disappear
U.S. pension fund deficits continue to balloon
BETTER than expected economic growth
As for the 10th risk it's said, that betting against the market always carries the risk of being surprised. In this case Europe stabilizes, the global economy grows, and risk asset prices exceed expectations.
I'd like to add one more position to the list above: "Russia joins WTO". though some optimists regard it as a chance for our economy to revive, economists tend to believe that it will cause serious problems for Russian economy, especially in car industry.
